Equilon FXUSD/JPY at 154: why we're not shorting it yet
Everyone's calling top. The desk is sitting on its hands. Here's the carry math, the BoJ stance, and the level we'll actually pull the trigger at — with a chart and a stop.
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article archive.
Historical articles from the previous Equilon FX website. Author credits, views and trade claims belong to their original publication; this is not the current format of the project.
Archive: January–May 2026. These articles are not a live feed. For current posts, visit the Telegram channel.
Showing all 16 articles
AUD/USD: the 0.66 reclaim trade
Long from 0.6612 with stop at 0.6585 and target 0.6680. Why this level matters and why the timing is now.
Read archived article ↗NFP read: priced, paid, and parked
Why the headline didn't matter and the wage print did. What it means for DXY into next week.
Read archived article ↗A quiet Friday with one clean trade
One entry, one exit, one screenshot. The week's only call and why we passed on three others.
Read archived article ↗EUR/USD: the range trade we keep taking
Same fade, third time this month. Why mean reversion still works on this pair when the macro is balanced.
Read archived article ↗Why we got stopped on USD/CHF — and what changed in the playbook
Lost 1R on a setup we shouldn't have taken. Earlier article archive entry, the rule we're adding, and the screenshot.
Read archived article ↗GBP/USD: 1.27 retest, third time lucky?
Same level, third visit. Why we're still willing to fade it — and what would make us walk away.
Read archived article ↗The dollar's quiet rotation: what's actually moving
It's not USD/JPY everyone keeps watching. The real flows are in CAD and CHF — and the structure is telling.
Read archived article ↗A week that paid: 3R locked, two skips justified
The trades, the misses, and the math. Plus what we got wrong on the macro read.
Read archived article ↗NZD/USD: where the Kiwi tells you it's done
The Aussie's smaller cousin is flagging a reversal. Here's the level, the trigger, and why we're patient.
Read archived article ↗Why we're long EUR/CHF — slowly
When the SNB is on the bid in CHF, you're not fighting them. You're trading with them. Here's how that's playing out.
Read archived article ↗The trade we didn't take: USD/CAD on oil
A clean setup, missed because of process. The lesson isn't "trade more" — it's tighter than that.
Read archived article ↗February's three skips and one clean win
Slow month, narrow ranges, lots of false starts. The trade we took, the three we passed on, and the math.
Read archived article ↗DXY: 105 break or bust?
The dollar index is sitting on the most-watched level in FX. Here's what each side of the break means for G10 majors.
Read archived article ↗The carry trade comeback: what changed in January
Carry was dead last year. Three weeks into 2026 it's the trade that's working. Here's why, and what it means for the desk's playbook.
Read archived article ↗Reading 2026: the macro we're trading into
Year-ahead is mostly a vanity exercise. But the regime we're walking into is unusually clear. Here's what the desk is positioned around for the next three months.
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